Risk Disclosure
Last updated: November 11, 2026
Copy trading on prediction markets is risky. You can lose your entire balance. Deposit only money you can afford to lose. Nothing on this site is investment advice.
Trading risks
- Past results don't predict future results. A trader with a good history can lose, and when they lose, you lose too.
- A position can go to zero. Shares in an outcome that doesn't happen are worth nothing.
- Thin markets. Some markets have few buyers and sellers. You may be unable to sell, or only at a much worse price.
- The trader may act against you. A trader who knows they are copied can trade in ways that profit from their followers.
- Market resolution. Markets are resolved under Polymarket's rules; outcomes can be disputed, delayed or resolved in a way you don't expect.
Copying risks
- Later and at a different price. Your order is placed seconds after the trader's, usually at a worse price.
- Not every trade is copied. Trades are skipped when the price moves beyond your slippage, your balance or daily budget runs out, the trade is too old or too small, or the order is below the exchange minimum. Your results will differ from the trader's.
- Partial copies. A buy can be copied and the matching sell skipped, or the other way round, leaving you with a position the trader no longer has.
- Only new trades. Positions a trader opened before you followed them are not copied.
- Small positions. Positions below the exchange minimum can't be sold and are only paid out if the market resolves in your favour.
Custody and technical risks
- We hold the key to your wallet. If our systems are breached, fail, or the encryption key is lost, your funds could be stolen or become inaccessible.
- Software errors. A bug in our software or in the smart contracts we use could cause wrong trades or loss of funds.
- Outages. If our service, Polymarket, the Polygon network or a data provider is down or slow, trades can be missed and withdrawals delayed.
- Stablecoins. Your balance is held in USDC.e and Polymarket's collateral token. They can lose their peg, be frozen or stop being supported.
- Irreversible transfers. A withdrawal to a wrong address can't be undone.
- Your email is the key to your account. Anyone with access to your mailbox can sign in and confirm withdrawals.
Legal risks
- Prediction markets and custodial crypto services are restricted or prohibited in some countries. You are responsible for knowing the rules where you live.
- Polymarket can restrict access, change its rules or fees, or stop working with services like ours, which may force positions to be closed or copying to stop.
- Your funds are not covered by deposit insurance or any investor-protection scheme.
- You are responsible for any taxes on your trading.